I'm trying to calculate a weighted median, but don't understand the difference between the following two methods. The answer I get from weighted.median() is different from (df, median(rep(value, count))), but I don't understand why. Are there many ways to get a weighted median? Is one more preferable over the other?
df = read.table(text="row count value
1 1. 25.
2 2. 26.
3 3. 30.
4 2. 32.
5 1. 39.", header=TRUE)
# weighted median
with(df, median(rep(value, count)))
# [1] 30
library(spatstat)
weighted.median(df$value, df$count)
# [1] 28
Note that with(df, median(rep(value, count))) only makes sense for weights which are positive integers (rep will accept float values for count but will coerce them to integers). This approach is thus not a full general approach to computing weighted medians. ?weighted.median shows that what the function tries to do is to compute a value m such that the total weight of the data below m is 50% of the total weight. In the case of your sample, there is no such m that works exactly. 28.5% of the total weight of the data is <= 26 and 61.9% is <= 30. In a case like this, by default ("type 2") it averages these 2 values to get the 28 that is returned. There are two other types. weighted.median(df$value,df$count,type = 1) returns 30. I am not completely sure if this type will always agree with your other approach.
I am implementing a machine learning model in Python which predicts success or failure. I have created a dummy variable which is 1 when there is success and 0 when there is a failure. I understand the concept of confusion matrix but I have found some online where the TPs and TNs are on opposite sides of the matrix. I would like to know how to interpret the results for my variables. Is the top-left corner of the matrix predicting True Positive? If so would that translate to the amount of successes being predicted correctly or the amount of failures being predicted correctly?
Does the matrix match the diagram below and if so how?
Ideally, please describe each corner of the confusion matrix in the context where I have success as 1 and failure as 0.
Refer to the documentation: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.metrics.confusion_matrix.html
Since you haven't specified the third parameter for labels in confusion_matrix, the labels in y_test_res will be used in sorted order, i.e. in this case 0 then 1. The row labels represent actual y, and column labels represent predicted y.
So the top-left corner is showing the number of failure observations, i.e. the actual y was 0 and was predicted 0, i.e. true negatives. The bottom-right corner is showing true positives, i.e. the actual y was 1 and was predicted 0.
The top-right corner would be actual y = 0 and predicted y = 1, i.e. false positive.
Using the confusion matrix plot would prettify things a little.
from sklearn.metrics import plot_confusion_matrix
plot_confusion_matrix(forest, X_test, y_test)
print(plt.show())
In the case of binary classification where classes are 0 and 1 and according to the doc :
1st row is for class 0
2nd row is for class 1
1st column is for predicted class 0
2nd column is for predicted class 1
Coefficient (0, 0) is the True Negative count (TN).
Coefficient (0, 1) is the False Positive count (FP).
Coefficient (1, 0) is the False Negative count (FN).
Coefficient (1, 1) is the True Positive count (TP).
I use a full-connected network to get the whole words distribution from the last state of an encoder.
For example, there are 5 words in the vocabulary.
P = [0.1, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0,4]
And the ground truth is a words' set for this train data.
I sample 3 words from the 5 words and if the target set contains the 3 words , then I want the probability of the 3 words in P increase, for this state.
If one of the 3 word is not in the target set, then I want the probability of the word in P decrease, for this state.
So I wrote these code:
reward = [0,0,0]
Suppose the first 3 words are sampled from P, and only the first 2 of the 3 words are in the target set. And the third word is not in the target set. Then
reward = [1,1,-1]
Then I compute the negative sum and dot product of reward and sampled 3 P2=[0.1, 0.1, 0.2] as the loss
loss = -sum(reward * P2.log())
But I fail to get the result: The top probability words can be selected from the vocabulary for every state.
Found an answer from SQLNet's equation:
If I have a query vector A and an item vector B, it would be great if someone can guide me how to weigh/normalize the vectors (strategies for the same).
Vector A would have the following components ( property1 (binary), property2 (binary), property 3 (int from range 0 to 50), property4 (int from range(0 to 10)
Vector B would have the same properties
I know that the angle between these 2 vectors using cosine similarity would give me the distance between the 2 vectors. I want to create a recommendation based on the similarity.
But i am not clear on how to normalize the properties and or the vectors in this case since it is binary+binary_int range +int range. Also, if I want to grant higher weightage to one property than the other, how do i do so. what options do i have.
I find examples of cosine similarity online with documents, but in this case the Vectors A and B are not documents so i am not using TF-idf in this case.
Please advise,
Thanks
If you want to use the traditional cosine similarity between the two vectors for td/idf, then each term is a dimension in your vector. That is, you need to form two new Vectors A' and B' and perform the similarity between these two.
These vectors have a dimension for each term, and you have 65 terms:
property 1: true and false
property 2: true and false
property 3: 0 through 50
property 4: 0 through 10
So A' and B' will be vectors of length 65 and each element will be either 0 or 1:
A'(0) = 1 if A(0) = true, and 0 otherwise
A'(1) = 1 if A(0) = false, and 0 otherwise
etc.
Clearly, you can see that this is inefficient. You don't actually need to calculate A' or B' to use cosine similarity with td/idf; you can just pretend you calculated them and perform the calculation on A and B. Note that length(A') = length(B') = sqrt(4) because there will be exactly 4 ones in A' and B'.
td/idf may not be your best bet though, if you want to take care of similarities within properties 3 and 4. That is, with td/idf, a property 3 value of 40 is different than a property 3 value of 41 and different than a property 3 value of 12. However, 41 is not considered "farther away" from 40 than 12; they are all just different terms.
So, if you want property 3 and 4 to incorporate a distance (1 is really close to 2 and 50 is far form 2) then you have to define a distance metric. And if you want to weigh the Boolean values more or less than properties 3 and 4, you will have to define a different distance metric too. If these are things you want to do, forget about cosine and just come up with a value.
Here's an example:
distance = abs(A.property1 - B.property1) * 5 +
abs(A.property2 - B.property2) * 5 +
abs(A.property3 - B.property3) / 51 * 1 +
abs(A.property4 - B.property4) / 10 * 2
And then the similarity = (the maximum of all distances) - distance;
Or, if you like, similarity = 1 / distance.
You can really define it how ever you like. And if you need the similarity to be between 0 and 1, then normalize by dividing by the maximum possible distance.
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I am doing my graduation project in the field of computer vision, and i have only taken one course in statistics that discussed very basic concepts, and now i am facing more difficulty in rather advanced topics, so i need help (book, tutorial, course, ..etc) to grasp and review the basic ideas and concepts in statistics and then dive into the details (statistical details) used in computer vision.
You can calculate False Positives/False negatives, etc with this Confusion Matrix PyTorch example:
import torch
def confusion(prediction, truth):
""" Returns the confusion matrix for the values in the `prediction` and `truth`
tensors, i.e. the amount of positions where the values of `prediction`
and `truth` are
- 1 and 1 (True Positive)
- 1 and 0 (False Positive)
- 0 and 0 (True Negative)
- 0 and 1 (False Negative)
"""
confusion_vector = prediction / truth
# Element-wise division of the 2 tensors returns a new tensor which holds a
# unique value for each case:
# 1 where prediction and truth are 1 (True Positive)
# inf where prediction is 1 and truth is 0 (False Positive)
# nan where prediction and truth are 0 (True Negative)
# 0 where prediction is 0 and truth is 1 (False Negative)
true_positives = torch.sum(confusion_vector == 1).item()
false_positives = torch.sum(confusion_vector == float('inf')).item()
true_negatives = torch.sum(torch.isnan(confusion_vector)).item()
false_negatives = torch.sum(confusion_vector == 0).item()
return true_positives, false_positives, true_negatives, false_negatives
You could use nn.BCEWithLogitsLoss (remove the sigmoid therefore) and set the pos_weight > 1 to increase the recall. Or further optimize it with using Dice Coefficients to penalize the model for false positives, with something like:
def Dice(y_true, y_pred):
"""Returns Dice Similarity Coefficient for ground truth and predicted masks."""
#print(y_true.dtype)
#print(y_pred.dtype)
y_true = np.squeeze(y_true)/255
y_pred = np.squeeze(y_pred)/255
y_true.astype('bool')
y_pred.astype('bool')
intersection = np.logical_and(y_true, y_pred).sum()
return ((2. * intersection.sum()) + 1.) / (y_true.sum() + y_pred.sum() + 1.)
IOU Calculations Explained
Count true positives (TP)
Count false positives (FP)
Count false negatives (FN)
Intersection = TP
Union = TP + FP + FN
IOU = Intersection/Union
The left side is our ground truth, while the right side contains our predictions. The highlighted cells on the left side note which class we are looking at for statistics on the right side. The highlights on the right side note true positives in a cream color, false positives in orange, and false negatives in yellow (note that all others are true negatives — they are predicted as this individual class, and should not be based on the ground truth).
For Class 0, only the top row of the 4x4 matrix should be predicted as zeros. This is a rather simplified version of a real ground truth. In reality, the zeros could be anywhere in the matrix. On the right side, we see 1,0,0,0, meaning the first is a false negative, but the other three are true positives (aka 3 for Intersection as well). From there, we need to find anywhere else where zero was falsely predicted, and we note that happens once on the second row, and twice on the fourth row, for a total of three false positives.
To get the union, we add up TP (3), FP (3) and FN (1) to get seven. The IOU for this class, therefore, is 3/7.
If we do this for all the classes and average the IOUs, we get:
Mean IOU = [(3/7) + (2/6) + (3/4) + (1/6)] / 4 = 0.420
You will also want to learn how to pull the statistics for mAP (Mean Avg Precision):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pM6DJ0ZZee0
https://towardsdatascience.com/breaking-down-mean-average-precision-map-ae462f623a52#1a59
https://medium.com/#hfdtsinghua/calculate-mean-average-precision-map-for-multi-label-classification-b082679d31be
Compute Covariance Matrixes
The variance of a variable describes how much the values are spread. The covariance is a measure that tells the amount of dependency between two variables.
A positive covariance means that the values of the first variable are large when values of the second variables are also large. A negative covariance means the opposite: large values from one variable are associated with small values of the other.
The covariance value depends on the scale of the variable so it is hard to analyze it. It is possible to use the correlation coefficient that is easier to interpret. The correlation coefficient is just the normalized covariance.
A positive covariance means that large values of one variable are associated with big values from the other (left). A negative covariance means that large values of one variable are associated with small values of the other one (right).
The covariance matrix is a matrix that summarises the variances and covariances of a set of vectors and it can tell a lot of things about your variables. The diagonal corresponds to the variance of each vector:
A matrix A and its matrix of covariance. The diagonal corresponds to the variance of each column vector. Let’s check with the formula of the variance:
With n the length of the vector, and x̄ the mean of the vector. For instance, the variance of the first column vector of A is:
This is the first cell of our covariance matrix. The second element on the diagonal corresponds of the variance of the second column vector from A and so on.
Note: the vectors extracted from the matrix A correspond to the columns of A.
The other cells correspond to the covariance between two column vectors from A. For instance, the covariance between the first and the third column is located in the covariance matrix as the column 1 and the row 3 (or the column 3 and the row 1):
The position in the covariance matrix. Column corresponds to the first variable and row to the second (or the opposite). The covariance between the first and the third column vector of A is the element in column 1 and row 3 (or the opposite = same value).
Let’s check that the covariance between the first and the third column vector of A is equal to -2.67. The formula of the covariance between two variables Xand Y is:
The variables X and Y are the first and the third column vectors in the last example. Let’s split this formula to be sure that it is crystal clear:
The sum symbol (Σ) means that we will iterate on the elements of the vectors. We will start with the first element (i=1) and calculate the first element of X minus the mean of the vector X:
Multiply the result with the first element of Y minus the mean of the vector Y:
Reiterate the process for each element of the vectors and calculate the sum of all results:
Divide by the number of elements in the vector.
EXAMPLE - Let’s start with the matrix A:
We will calculate the covariance between the first and the third column vectors:
and
Which is x̄=3, ȳ=4, and n=3 so we have:
Code example -
Using NumPy, the covariance matrix can be calculated with the function np.cov.
It is worth noting that if you want NumPy to use the columns as vectors, the parameter rowvar=False has to be used. Also, bias=True divides by n and not by n-1.
Let’s create the array first:
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
A = np.array([[1, 3, 5], [5, 4, 1], [3, 8, 6]])
Now we will calculate the covariance with the NumPy function:
np.cov(A, rowvar=False, bias=True)
Finding the covariance matrix with the dot product
There is another way to compute the covariance matrix of A. You can center A around 0. The mean of the vector is subtracted from each element of the vector to have a vector with mean equal to 0. It is multiplied with its own transpose, and divided by the number of observations.
Let’s start with an implementation and then we’ll try to understand the link with the previous equation:
def calculateCovariance(X):
meanX = np.mean(X, axis = 0)
lenX = X.shape[0]
X = X - meanX
covariance = X.T.dot(X)/lenX
return covariance
print(calculateCovariance(A))
Output:
array([[ 2.66666667, 0.66666667, -2.66666667],
[ 0.66666667, 4.66666667, 2.33333333],
[-2.66666667, 2.33333333, 4.66666667]])
The dot product between two vectors can be expressed:
It is the sum of the products of each element of the vectors:
If we have a matrix A, the dot product between A and its transpose will give you a new matrix:
Visualize data and covariance matrices
In order to get more insights about the covariance matrix and how it can be useful, we will create a function to visualize it along with 2D data. You will be able to see the link between the covariance matrix and the data.
This function will calculate the covariance matrix as we have seen above. It will create two subplots — one for the covariance matrix and one for the data. The heatmap() function from Seaborn is used to create gradients of colour — small values will be coloured in light green and large values in dark blue. We chose one of our palette colours, but you may prefer other colours. The data is represented as a scatterplot.
def plotDataAndCov(data):
ACov = np.cov(data, rowvar=False, bias=True)
print 'Covariance matrix:\n', ACov
fig, ax = plt.subplots(nrows=1, ncols=2)
fig.set_size_inches(10, 10)
ax0 = plt.subplot(2, 2, 1)
# Choosing the colors
cmap = sns.color_palette("GnBu", 10)
sns.heatmap(ACov, cmap=cmap, vmin=0)
ax1 = plt.subplot(2, 2, 2)
# data can include the colors
if data.shape[1]==3:
c=data[:,2]
else:
c="#0A98BE"
ax1.scatter(data[:,0], data[:,1], c=c, s=40)
# Remove the top and right axes from the data plot
ax1.spines['right'].set_visible(False)
ax1.spines['top'].set_visible(False)
Uncorrelated data
Now that we have the plot function, we will generate some random data to visualize what the covariance matrix can tell us. We will start with some data drawn from a normal distribution with the NumPy function np.random.normal().
This function needs the mean, the standard deviation and the number of observations of the distribution as input. We will create two random variables of 300 observations with a standard deviation of 1. The first will have a mean of 1 and the second a mean of 2. If we randomly draw two sets of 300 observations from a normal distribution, both vectors will be uncorrelated.
np.random.seed(1234)
a1 = np.random.normal(2, 1, 300)
a2 = np.random.normal(1, 1, 300)
A = np.array([a1, a2]).T
A.shape
Note 1: We transpose the data with .T because the original shape is (2, 300) and we want the number of observations as rows (so with shape (300, 2)).
Note 2: We use np.random.seed function for reproducibility. The same random number will be used the next time we run the cell. Let’s check how the data looks like:
A[:10,:]
array([[ 2.47143516, 1.52704645],
[ 0.80902431, 1.7111124 ],
[ 3.43270697, 0.78245452],
[ 1.6873481 , 3.63779121],
[ 1.27941127, -0.74213763],
[ 2.88716294, 0.90556519],
[ 2.85958841, 2.43118375],
[ 1.3634765 , 1.59275845],
[ 2.01569637, 1.1702969 ],
[-0.24268495, -0.75170595]])
Nice, we have two column vectors; Now, we can check that the distributions are normal:
sns.distplot(A[:,0], color="#53BB04")
sns.distplot(A[:,1], color="#0A98BE")
plt.show()
plt.close()
We can see that the distributions have equivalent standard deviations but different means (1 and 2). So that’s exactly what we have asked for.
Now we can plot our dataset and its covariance matrix with our function:
plotDataAndCov(A)
plt.show()
plt.close()
Covariance matrix:
[[ 0.95171641 -0.0447816 ]
[-0.0447816 0.87959853]]
We can see on the scatterplot that the two dimensions are uncorrelated. Note that we have one dimension with a mean of 1 (y-axis) and the other with the mean of 2 (x-axis).
Also, the covariance matrix shows that the variance of each variable is very large (around 1) and the covariance of columns 1 and 2 is very small (around 0). Since we ensured that the two vectors are independent this is coherent. The opposite is not necessarily true: a covariance of 0 doesn’t guarantee independence.
Correlated data
Now, let’s construct dependent data by specifying one column from the other one.
np.random.seed(1234)
b1 = np.random.normal(3, 1, 300)
b2 = b1 + np.random.normal(7, 1, 300)/2.
B = np.array([b1, b2]).T
plotDataAndCov(B)
plt.show()
plt.close()
Covariance matrix:
[[ 0.95171641 0.92932561]
[ 0.92932561 1.12683445]]
The correlation between the two dimensions is visible on the scatter plot. We can see that a line could be drawn and used to predict y from x and vice versa. The covariance matrix is not diagonal (there are non-zero cells outside of the diagonal). That means that the covariance between dimensions is non-zero.
From this point with Covariance Matrcies, you can research further on the following:
Mean normalization
Standardization or normalization
Whitening
Zero-centering
Decorrelate
Rescaling