Multivariate time series predictions with RNN - LSTM using Keras - keras

I want to build a model in order to perform anomaly detection in multivariate time series. Indeed, I have 21 features which are 21 time series for each time-window. The method lays on RNN - LSTM with Keras, the training is done on 100 time-windows considered as normal data and the objective is to apply the model on a new time window so as to detect whether some time-instances are considererd as abnormal.
The model predicts the next instance of each feature, so there are 21 outputs of the model.
My "normal" data are shaped like this:
100 time windows with 1650 observations and 21 features.
My way is to build a model to predict the t+1 instance of a vector of 21 features , so I try to shape X and Y giving:
train_X.shape = (80, 1649, 21)
train_Y.shape = (80, 1649, 21)
train_Y is the t+1 vector of the train_X vector.
I also have a validation set in the training process (to tackle overfitting)
test_X.shape = (20, 1649, 21)
test_Y.shape = (20,1649, 21)
I found this code on machinelearningmastery.com and tried to deal with it:
config = {'sequence_length': 100, 'epochs': 120, 'batch_size': 30,
'validation_split': 0.2}
layers = {'input': 21, 'hidden1': 60, 'hidden2':60, 'output': 21}
model = Sequential()
model.add(LSTM(output_dim=4, layers['hidden1'], input_shape=(1649, 21),
return_sequences=True))
model.add(Dropout(config['validation_split']))
model.add(LSTM(units=layers['hidden2'], return_sequences=False) )
model.add(Dropout(config['validation_split']))
model.add(Dense(units=layers['output']))
model.add(Activation("linear"))
model.add(Dense(1))
model.compile(loss='mse', optimizer='rmsprop')
Fit network
history = model.fit(train_X, train_y, epochs=config['epochs'],
batch_size=config['batch_size'], validation_data=(test_X, test_y),
verbose=2, shuffle=False)
print("Predicting...")
predicted = model.predict(test_X)
print("Reshaping predicted")
predicted = np.reshape(predicted, (predicted.size,))
Do you think I have the right approach? Someone could give me some tips to modify the code or the shaping of the data ?
Thanks.

This code won't run as the data output and model output shapes are inconsistent. Here are a few things to fix and try:
Your train_Y shape does not seem to be correct. If you indeed want train_Y to be the t+1 observation of train_X, then train_Y.shape = (80, 1, 21).
Why do you use "validation_split" for dropout. It seems poor choice of name for dropout variable as it has nothing to do with validation_split.
model.add(Activation("linear")) seems redundant as Dense would already do a linear transformation. More than one linear transformation would be redundant. So maybe replace it with appropriate nonlinearity.
As you ultimate goal is to do anomaly detection, you have to come up with a "detection" threshold. So if abs(y_true - y_pred) > threshold, you would call that sample as anomalous.

Related

LSTM Autoencoder producing poor results in test data

I'm applying LSTM autoencoder for anomaly detection. Since anomaly data are very few as compared to normal data, only normal instances are used for the training. Testing data consists of both anomalies and normal instances. During the training, the model loss seems good. However, in the test the data the model produces poor accuracy. i.e. anomaly and normal points are not well separated.
The snippet of my code is below:
.............
.............
X_train = X_train.reshape(X_train.shape[0], lookback, n_features)
X_valid = X_valid.reshape(X_valid.shape[0], lookback, n_features)
X_test = X_test.reshape(X_test.shape[0], lookback, n_features)
.....................
......................
N = 1000
batch = 1000
lr = 0.0001
timesteps = 3
encoding_dim = int(n_features/2)
lstm_model = Sequential()
lstm_model.add(LSTM(N, activation='relu', input_shape=(timesteps, n_features), return_sequences=True))
lstm_model.add(LSTM(encoding_dim, activation='relu', return_sequences=False))
lstm_model.add(RepeatVector(timesteps))
# Decoder
lstm_model.add(LSTM(timesteps, activation='relu', return_sequences=True))
lstm_model.add(LSTM(encoding_dim, activation='relu', return_sequences=True))
lstm_model.add(TimeDistributed(Dense(n_features)))
lstm_model.summary()
adam = optimizers.Adam(lr)
lstm_model.compile(loss='mse', optimizer=adam)
cp = ModelCheckpoint(filepath="lstm_classifier.h5",
save_best_only=True,
verbose=0)
tb = TensorBoard(log_dir='./logs',
histogram_freq=0,
write_graph=True,
write_images=True)
lstm_model_history = lstm_model.fit(X_train, X_train,
epochs=epochs,
batch_size=batch,
shuffle=False,
verbose=1,
validation_data=(X_valid, X_valid),
callbacks=[cp, tb]).history
.........................
test_x_predictions = lstm_model.predict(X_test)
mse = np.mean(np.power(preprocess_data.flatten(X_test) - preprocess_data.flatten(test_x_predictions), 2), axis=1)
error_df = pd.DataFrame({'Reconstruction_error': mse,
'True_class': y_test})
# Confusion Matrix
pred_y = [1 if e > threshold else 0 for e in error_df.Reconstruction_error.values]
conf_matrix = confusion_matrix(error_df.True_class, pred_y)
plt.figure(figsize=(5, 5))
sns.heatmap(conf_matrix, xticklabels=LABELS, yticklabels=LABELS, annot=True, fmt="d")
plt.title("Confusion matrix")
plt.ylabel('True class')
plt.xlabel('Predicted class')
plt.show()
Please suggest what can be done in the model to improve the accuracy.
If your model is not performing good on the test set I would make sure to check certain things;
Training set is not contaminated with anomalies or any information from the test set. If you use scaling, make sure you did not fit the scaler to training and test set combined.
Based on my experience; if an autoencoder cannot discriminate well enough on the test data but has low training loss, provided your training set is pure, it means that the autoencoder did learn about the underlying details of the training set but not about the generalized idea.
Your threshold value might be off and you may need to come up with a better thresholding procedure. One example can be found here: https://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?doid=3219819.3219845
If the problem is 2nd one, the solution is to increase generalization. With autoencoders, one of the most efficient generalization tool is the dimension of the bottleneck. Again based on my experience with anomaly detection in flight radar data; lowering the bottleneck dimension significantly increased my multi-class classification accuracy. I was using 14 features with an encoding_dim of 7, but encoding_dim of 4 provided even better results. The value of the training loss was not important in my case because I was only comparing reconstruction errors, but since you are making a classification with a threshold value of RE, a more robust thresholding may be used to improve accuracy, just as in the paper I've shared.

How to merge new features at later stage of model?

I have training data in the form of numpy arrays, that I will use in ConvLSTM.
Following are dimensions of array.
trainX = (5000, 200, 5) where 5000 are number of samples. 200 is time steps per sample, and 8 is number of features per timestep. (samples, timesteps, features).
out of these 8 features, 3 features remains the same throghout all timesteps in a sample (In other words, these features are directly related to samples). for example, day of the week, month number, weekday (these changes from sample to sample). To reduce the complexity, I want to keep these three features separate from initial training set and merge them with the output of convlstm layer before applying dense layer for classication (softmax activiation). e,g
Intial training set dimension would be (7000, 200, 5) and auxiliary input dimensions to be merged would be (7000, 3) --> because these 3 features are directly related to sample. How can I implement this using keras?
Following is my code that I write using Functional API, but don't know how to merge these two inputs.
#trainX.shape=(7000,200,5)
#trainy.shape=(7000,4)
#testX.shape=(3000,200,5)
#testy.shape=(3000,4)
#trainMetadata.shape=(7000,3)
#testMetadata.shape=(3000,3)
verbose, epochs, batch_size = 1, 50, 256
samples, n_features, n_outputs = trainX.shape[0], trainX.shape[2], trainy.shape[1]
n_steps, n_length = 4, 50
input_shape = (n_steps, 1, n_length, n_features)
model_input = Input(shape=input_shape)
clstm1 = ConvLSTM2D(filters=64, kernel_size=(1,3), activation='relu',return_sequences = True)(model_input)
clstm1 = BatchNormalization()(clstm1)
clstm2 = ConvLSTM2D(filters=128, kernel_size=(1,3), activation='relu',return_sequences = False)(clstm1)
conv_output = BatchNormalization()(clstm2)
metadata_input = Input(shape=trainMetadata.shape)
merge_layer = np.concatenate([metadata_input, conv_output])
dense = Dense(100, activation='relu', kernel_regularizer=regularizers.l2(l=0.01))(merge_layer)
dense = Dropout(0.5)(dense)
output = Dense(n_outputs, activation='softmax')(dense)
model = Model(inputs=merge_layer, outputs=output)
model.compile(loss='categorical_crossentropy', optimizer='adam', metrics=['accuracy'])
history = model.fit([trainX, trainMetadata], trainy, validation_data=([testX, testMetadata], testy), epochs=epochs, batch_size=batch_size, verbose=verbose)
_, accuracy = model.evaluate(testX, testy, batch_size=batch_size, verbose=0)
y = model.predict(testX)
but I am getting Value error at merge_layer statement. Following is the ValueError
ValueError: zero-dimensional arrays cannot be concatenated
What you are saying can not be done using the Sequential mode of Keras.
You need to use the Model class API Guide to Keras Model.
With this API you can build the complex model you are looking for
Here you have an example of how to use it: How to Use the Keras Functional API for Deep Learning

Accuracy goes to 0.0000 when training RNN with Keras?

I'm trying to use custom word-embeddings from Spacy for training a sequence -> label RNN query classifier. Here's my code:
word_vector_length = 300
dictionary_size = v.num_tokens + 1
word_vectors = v.get_word_vector_dictionary()
embedding_weights = np.zeros((dictionary_size, word_vector_length))
max_length = 186
for word, index in dictionary._get_raw_id_to_token().items():
if word in word_vectors:
embedding_weights[index,:] = word_vectors[word]
model = Sequential()
model.add(Embedding(input_dim=dictionary_size, output_dim=word_vector_length,
input_length= max_length, mask_zero=True, weights=[embedding_weights]))
model.add(Bidirectional(LSTM(128, activation= 'relu', return_sequences=False)))
model.add(Dense(v.num_labels, activation= 'sigmoid'))
model.compile(loss = 'binary_crossentropy',
optimizer = 'adam',
metrics = ['accuracy'])
model.fit(X_train, Y_train, batch_size=200, nb_epoch=20)
here the word_vectors are stripped from spacy.vectors and have length 300, the input is an np_array which looks like [0,0,12,15,0...] of dimension 186, where the integers are the token ids in the input, and I've constructed the embedded weight matrix accordingly. The output layer is [0,0,1,0,...0] of length 26 for each training sample, indicating the label that should go with this piece of vectorized text.
This looks like it should work, but during the first epoch the training accuracy is continually decreasing... and by the end of the first epoch/for the rest of training, it's exactly 0 and I'm not sure why this is happening. I've trained plenty of models with keras/TF before and never encountered this issue.
Any idea what might be happening here?
Are the labels always one-hot? Meaning only one of the elements of the label vector is one and the rest zero.
If so, then maybe try using a softmax activation with a categorical crossentropy loss like in the following official example:
https://github.com/fchollet/keras/blob/master/examples/babi_memnn.py#L202
This will help constraint the network to output probability distributions on the last layer (i.e. the softmax layer outputs sum up to 1).

Dimensions not matching in keras LSTM model

I want to use an LSTM neural Network with keras to forecast groups of time series and I am having troubles in making the model match what I want. The dimensions of my data are:
input tensor: (data length, number of series to train, time steps to look back)
output tensor: (data length, number of series to forecast, time steps to look ahead)
Note: I want to keep the dimensions exactly like that, no
transposition.
A dummy data code that reproduces the problem is:
import numpy as np
from keras.models import Sequential
from keras.layers import Dense, TimeDistributed, LSTM
epoch_number = 100
batch_size = 20
input_dim = 4
output_dim = 3
look_back = 24
look_ahead = 24
n = 100
trainX = np.random.rand(n, input_dim, look_back)
trainY = np.random.rand(n, output_dim, look_ahead)
print('test X:', trainX.shape)
print('test Y:', trainY.shape)
model = Sequential()
# Add the first LSTM layer (The intermediate layers need to pass the sequences to the next layer)
model.add(LSTM(10, batch_input_shape=(None, input_dim, look_back), return_sequences=True))
# add the first LSTM layer (the dimensions are only needed in the first layer)
model.add(LSTM(10, return_sequences=True))
# the TimeDistributed object allows a 3D output
model.add(TimeDistributed(Dense(look_ahead)))
model.compile(loss='mean_squared_error', optimizer='adam', metrics=['accuracy'])
model.fit(trainX, trainY, nb_epoch=epoch_number, batch_size=batch_size, verbose=1)
This trows:
Exception: Error when checking model target: expected
timedistributed_1 to have shape (None, 4, 24) but got array with shape
(100, 3, 24)
The problem seems to be when defining the TimeDistributed layer.
How do I define the TimeDistributed layer so that it compiles and trains?
The error message is a bit misleading in your case. Your output node of the network is called timedistributed_1 because that's the last node in your sequential model. What the error message is trying to tell you is that the output of this node does not match the target your model is fitting to, i.e. your labels trainY.
Your trainY has a shape of (n, output_dim, look_ahead), so (100, 3, 24) but the network is producing an output shape of (batch_size, input_dim, look_ahead). The problem in this case is that output_dim != input_dim. If your time dimension changes you may need padding or a network node that removes said timestep.
I think the problem is that you expect output_dim (!= input_dim) at the output of TimeDistributed, while it's not possible. This dimension is what it considers as the time dimension: it is preserved.
The input should be at least 3D, and the dimension of index one will
be considered to be the temporal dimension.
The purpose of TimeDistributed is to apply the same layer to each time step. You can only end up with the same number of time steps as you started with.
If you really need to bring down this dimension from 4 to 3, I think you will need to either add another layer at the end, or use something different from TimeDistributed.
PS: one hint towards finding this issue was that output_dim is never used when creating the model, it only appears in the validation data. While it's only a code smell (there might not be anything wrong with this observation), it's something worth checking.

LSTM with Keras for mini-batch training and online testing

I would like to implement an LSTM in Keras for streaming time-series prediction -- i.e., running online, getting one data point at a time. This is explained well here, but as one would assume, the training time for an online LSTM can be prohibitively slow. I would like to train my network on mini-batches, and test (run prediction) online. What is the best way to do this in Keras?
For example, a mini-batch could be a sequence of 1000 data values ([33, 34, 42, 33, 32, 33, 36, ... 24, 23]) that occur at consecutive time steps. To train the network I've specified an array X of shape (900, 100, 1), where there are 900 sequences of length 100, and an array y of shape (900, 1). E.g.,
X[0] = [[33], [34], [42], [33], ...]]
X[1] = [[34], [42], [33], [32], ...]]
...
X[999] = [..., [24]]
y[999] = [23]
So for each sequence X[i], there is a corresponding y[i] that represents the next value in the time-series -- what we want to predict.
In test I want to predict the next data values 1000 to 1999. I do this by feeding an array of shape (1, 100, 1) for each step from 1000 to 1999, where the model tries to predict the value at the next step.
Is this the recommended approach and setup for my problem? Enabling statefulness may be the way to go for a purely online implementation, but in Keras this requires a consistent batch_input_shape in training and testing, which would not work for my intent of training on mini-batches and then testing online. Or is there a way I can do this?
UPDATE: Trying to implement the network as #nemo recommended
I ran my own dataset on an example network from a blog post "Time Series Prediction with LSTM Recurrent Neural Networks in Python with Keras", and then tried implementing the prediction phase as a stateful network.
The model building and training is the same for both:
# Create and fit the LSTM network
numberOfEpochs = 10
look_back = 30
model = Sequential()
model.add(LSTM(4, input_dim=1, input_length=look_back))
model.add(Dense(1))
model.compile(loss='mean_squared_error', optimizer='adam')
model.fit(trainX, trainY, nb_epoch=numberOfEpochs, batch_size=1, verbose=2)
# trainX.shape = (6883, 30, 1)
# trainY.shape = (6883,)
# testX.shape = (3375, 30, 1)
# testY.shape = (3375,)
Batch prediction is done with:
trainPredict = model.predict(trainX, batch_size=batch_size)
testPredict = model.predict(testX, batch_size=batch_size)
To try a stateful prediction phase, I ran the same model setup and training as before, but then the following:
w = model.get_weights()
batch_size = 1
model = Sequential()
model.add(LSTM(4, batch_input_shape=(batch_size, look_back, 1), stateful=True))
model.add(Dense(1))
model.compile(loss='mean_squared_error', optimizer='adam')
trainPredictions, testPredictions = [], []
for trainSample in trainX:
trainPredictions.append(model.predict(trainSample.reshape((1,look_back,1)), batch_size=batch_size))
trainPredict = numpy.concatenate(trainPredictions).ravel()
for testSample in testX:
testPredictions.append(model.predict(testSample.reshape((1,look_back,1)), batch_size=batch_size))
testPredict = numpy.concatenate(testPredictions).ravel()
To inspect the results, the plots below show the actual (normalized) data in blue, the predictions on the training set in green, and the predictions on the test set in red.
The first figure is from using batch prediction, and the second from stateful. Any ideas what I'm doing incorrectly?
If I understand you correctly you are asking if you can enable statefulness after training. This should be possible, yes. For example:
net = Dense(1)(SimpleRNN(stateful=False)(input))
model = Model(input=input, output=net)
model.fit(...)
w = model.get_weights()
net = Dense(1)(SimpleRNN(stateful=True)(input))
model = Model(input=input, output=net)
model.set_weights(w)
After that you can predict in a stateful way.

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