Could someone help me with an excel formula to run a test 1000 times where there are only two possibilities of the event to occur out of 40 outcomes. Is it possible in excel?
For example: I have 40 numbered stones in a bunch from 1 to 40. How many times I randomly pick stone no.1 or 2 when I try this 1000 times?
Is it possible to execute this in excel and get a detailed answer in %?
Here's one way:
Put this formula in A1 and copy down to A1000,
it will act as the random event of choosing a stone:
=RANDBETWEEN(1,40)
In another cell, put this formula to get the count of 1's and 2's:
=SUM(COUNTIF(A1:A1000,{1,2}))
To get the percent, well, I'm sure you can figure that out.
Every time you click F9 the random numbers in column A will recalculate.
Of course, Excel doesn't generate truly random numbers.
This particular statistical problem has been well studied by mathematicians, so you don't have to simulate but can use a well known result. Or, if you must simulate (say, for homework), this can provide a way to test it.
When you have an event E that can happen 1/20=0.05 of the time, and you want to know a probability that the event E happens K (K=0,1,2,3,...,999,1000) times in N=1000 tests, the answer to that is the Binomial Distribution B(n=1000,p=0.05).
In Excel, this Binomial Distribution is available with BINOMDIST().
Example
BINOMDIST(49, 1000, 0.05, FALSE)
gives the probability of seeing K=49 events out of N=1000 tests when the event has prob p=0.05.
FALSE is for one particular outcome of the 1000 tests, i.e. K=49.
TRUE would give the cumulative probability of less than or equal, i.e. summing up the probabilities for K=0,1,2,3,...,49 events.
In cell A1 enter =RANDBETWEEN(1,40) then copy it down to B1000
In cell C1 enter =IF(OR(AND(A4=1,B4=2),AND(A4=2,B4=1)),1,0)
in cell D1 enter =SUM(C:C)/1000
Pressing F9 will recalculate
Related
so I am a complete excel and math noob and I want to have a cell in excel which will display the "Pelayo number", which is used in calculating bias in a roulette wheel. You can read more about it here: https://www.roulette-bet.com/2015/06/the-roulette-bias-winning-method.html
enter image description here
Let me explain briefly what I want. As you can see on the image there are two columns, in one there are the numbers on a roulette wheel and and in the second one there is the frequency of each number. On top you see number of spins (852). The number on the bottom (23,02.....) is the expected frequency of each number. The table is dynamic, constantly evolving as I enter new data.
Now I want a cell to display the total number of positives. Which is calculated like this:
If there have been 300 spins, each numbers has to have been spun 300/36 = 8.33 in order to be breaking even. This means those which have been spun 8 times are losing a little, and those which have showed 9 times are winning something. If a number has appeared 14 times it is clear it has 14-8.33 = 5.67 which we will express in an abbreviated form like +5. Let’s suppose the exact same situation has occurred for 6 other numbers also, they all will make a total sum of 5.67 + 5.67 + 5.67 + 5.67 + 5.67 + 5.67+ 5.67 = 39.69. as no other number has been spun over 9 times, then we say the amount of total positives at this table at 300 spins is +39.
TLDR So ideally something like: Select all the numbers from (G6:G42) which are bigger than value in (G50) and then substract them one after another from the expected frequency (G50) and then add this all up.
I tried to solve it but just couldnt find a tutorial anywhere
I'll break this down for you, and show you a few helpful Excel concepts along the way.
Especially if you are a beginner, I'd recommend using a helper column. Helper columns are great ways to break down complicated functions into smaller, more manageable parts.
In H6, write =IF(G6>G$50,G6,0). That if statement will set us up for our sum, with either the value in G6 or a 0. The $ will be cleared up in a moment.
Then, hover your mouse over that cell, and a little square box will appear in the lower right corner of H6. Grab that tiny box, and drag it down to H42. This fills in the formula, adjusting all of the numbers relatively as you go. Note that the 50 stayed constant, however - that's what the $ did!
H6 is now your helper column. It doesn't find your answer, but it gets an important, intermediary step done.
Finally, wherever you'd like your answer, write =SUM(G6:G42), and you should be well on your way.
=SUMIF(G6:G42,">"&G50,G6:G42)-COUNTIF(G6:G42,">"&G50)*G50
It sums values that are over in G50 then distracts G50 value as much times as there were values to sum up to.
For example in case G50 is 23.02 and you have values 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25.
It would calculate like (22+23+24+25)-4*23.02
This is a little bit complicated to describe, but I will try my best. I have a total, let's say 1000. Then I want to split it by percentages, position count is all the time different. So there can be 3 or 70 or 130 positions or whatever. Then split sum should correspond to target value.
Here is an example of the case:
I input names under Customer request
I enter percentage for position under Percentage
In amount calculation I use =CEILING($C$5*C10;10) and in all the rest of the cells the same to get numbers look nice. It is working fine but he problem is that now totals does not match. It should end up in 15550 but after calculating totals after split it is 15660.
Is there any ideas what kind of master artificial intelligent formula can do the trick to produce nice looking numbers, taking in consideration to match Total (target) in the end if Total (calculated) percentage is 100%?
P.S. Any ideas are welcomed as well. The target is to have nice looking, rounded numbers that will sum in the same number as target - total.
Since you are using CEILING, your output number (e.g. 15660) is guaranteed to be greater than or equal to your input number (e.g. 15550). This is because any time a "perfect match" isn't found, it rounds up.
My first suggestion is to instead use ROUND instead of CEILING. Right off the bat this will perform better than CEILING because ROUND can round up or down but CEILING can only round up.
E.g. try this:
= ROUND($C$5*C10,-1)
Since you provide no details as to "how" the data needs to be adjusted to meet your input value, I can't really provide any automatic solution.
One manual solution is that you can make a new column which indicates whether the data was rounded up or rounded down, and you can adjust the percentages manually to get the data you're looking for.
Here's a formula to tell you if the data is rounded up or down (e.g. put formula in cell E10 and drag down):
= CHOOSE(SIGN(D10-($C$5*C10))+2,"Round Down","Perfect Match","Round Up")
You can use this information to manually tweak your percentages. For example... if your output value is too high, you can slightly decrease some of the higher percentages that "Round Up" and slightly increase some of the lower percentages (e.g. if you have 10% and 3%, maybe change them to 10.1% and 2.9% to see if that makes a difference.)
I am working on a model of charging load of electric vehicle. I am attaching a link to an excel workbook for your better understanding.
Column B contains random time values
Column G to P represents houses and each house can have 1 car. So the each time values needs to be distributed in one column. Now when a car is plugged in, its load stays constant for 3 cells.
I want excel to randomly distribute these cars e.g. 4 cars to 4 houses and leave others blank.
what i can think of is, to assign each time a random house then use IF formula with AND function to match random times with time series and second condition to match random houses with columns 1-10.
the problem i am facing is, the formula gives a value error and only works in the rows with has random generated time in front of them screenshot. I know there is a very small thing that i am missing. please help me find it
Regards
workbook
=IF(ISNA(MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE)),"",IF(AND(INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE))>=$F6,INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE))<=$F6+TIME(0,30,0)),11,""))
The two elements in the AND find the house number in column C and return the corresponding time in column B.
The first element compares the time in F to that time. The second element compares the time + 30 minutes to F (three cells). If it's between those two times, it gets an 11.
The ISNA makes sure that the house in question is on the list. You could also use an IFERROR, but I prefer the precision of ISNA.
Update
If you want the values to wrap around, you need to OR compare to the next day.
=IF(ISNA(MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE)),"",IF(OR(AND(ROUND($F6,5)>=ROUND(INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE)),5),ROUND($F6,5)<=ROUND(INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE))+TIME(0,30,0),5)),AND(ROUND($F6+1,5)>=ROUND(INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE)),5),ROUND($F6+1,5)<=ROUND(INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE))+TIME(0,30,0),5))),11,""))
That formula structure looks like
=If(isna(),"",if(or(and(today,today),and(tomorrow,tomorrow)),11,"")
This formulas already getting too big. If you triple it for your three voltages, it will be huge. You should consider writing a UDF in VBA. It won't be as quick to calculate, but will probably be more maintainable.
If you want to stick with a formula, you could put the wattage in row 4 above the house number. Then in another table, list the wattages and minutes to charge. So in, say, B12:C14 you have
3.7 120
11 30
22 15
Now where you have 11 in your formula, you'd have G$4 and the two placed you have TIME(0,30,0), you'd have TIME(0,INDEX($C$12:$C$14,MATCH(G$4,$B$12:$B$14,FALSE)),0). I re-arranged some stuff to make it more 'readable' (but it's still pretty tough) and here's the final formula
=IF(ISNA(MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE)),"",IF(OR(AND(ROUND($F6,5)>=ROUND(INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE)),5),ROUND($F6,5)<=ROUND(INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE))+TIME(0,INDEX($C$12:$C$14,MATCH(G$4,$B$12:$B$14,FALSE)),0),5)),AND(ROUND($F6+1,5)>=ROUND(INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE)),5),ROUND($F6+1,5)<=ROUND(INDEX($B$6:$B$9,MATCH(G$5,$C$6:$C$9,FALSE))+TIME(0,INDEX($C$12:$C$14,MATCH(G$4,$B$12:$B$14,FALSE)),0),5))),G$4,""))
So I'm creating a spreadsheet that determines the cost of materials and the number of each material needed in order to complete a desire project using input from myself. Right now the desired project is a wall that is 250x9 that requires replace all the 4x8 sheets of wood with OSB and install Vinyl Siding. The issue I'm running into is I cannot get it to always round up. By that I mean even if the value is 1.1 it should round up. In this specific case I am buying nails for my nail gun in a box of 2,000 and each sheet of OSB will have 32 nails in it. If 250x9 area requires 70.3125 sheets of OSB it means I still have to buy 71 sheets of OSB. If that OSB is 71 sheets then it require that I have 2272 Nails then the result is I need 1.125 Boxes of nails. However I can't seem to get it to show this as 2 boxes because again I still need to purchase more than one box to complete the project. So with that being said if I take the number of OSB needed 70.3125 and I place it in a formula with a roundup function it still rounds down (gives me a headache that there is a roundup and a rounddown function and it will still round down on me. Perhaps it is the way I am using it in the formula that is incorrect, I'm not sure. So let me translate the formula's used and you can let me know if I'm doing something wrong or if there is a function or set of functions that I can use to solve this issue.
=SUM(((B30*C30)+(B35*C35)+(E30*F30)+(H30*I30))/(E9*G9))
This says that if I added Wall1 L*W with Wall2 L*W with Wall3 L*W with Wall4 L*W and divide it by OSB H*W I get the number of sheets needed. Which in this case is 2250/32 basically. But its programmed in a manner that I can input the information for individual walls to different area's and get it to spit out the total SqFt for each wall and give an individual breakdown per wall of material needed with cost associated per sq ft of material bleh bleh bleh. The point is I take the result that is the 70.3125 and I move it to a different workbook and I say "Sheets OSB Needed" and in that box I have
=ROUNDUP(Sheet1!A9,1)
Whereas I'm asking it to roundup A9 which is the result of the above formula by intervals of 1. But the output is still 70 instead of 71. and much the same case with the nails needed. Which can be calculated in a few different manners but regardless the amount of nails needed divided by 2000 would output the decimal answer which yields a value of less than 1.5 and it too provides me with a value of 1 instead of 2 with much the same formula. I could achieve my desired result I suppose with Trunc and Mod functions collaborating using multiple cells to output the different portions of the data. But is there a way to do this that doesn't involve so many cells being used up?
C7
=Trunc(A9)
Removes Decimal from 70.3125
C8
=MOD(A9)
Outputs decimals from 70.3125
C9
=IF(C8<1,"1",C8)
If Decimals are < a whole number make it a whole number
C3
=SUM(C7+C9)
Add the whole number to the Trunc Number to get value desired.
Which I'm already seeing an issue with this if there is no decimals in the sheets needed then wouldn't it always add one because the decimal place would be 0? How can I handle this issue? Isn't there an easier way to do this or a way to code it so that its all nested into one calculation or at least mostly all into one calculation without making a circular reference of some sort?
You need to change the second parameter to a 0 ROUNDUP(70.3125, 1) is 70.3 the 3 must be getting dropped elsewhere or lost in formatting.
ROUNDUP(70.3125, 0) will give 71.
The second parameter of round up is the decimal place. So to round to integers it should be 0 not 1
I have a requirement in Excel to spread small; i.e. pennies, monetry rounding errors fairly across the members of my club.
The error arises when I deduct money from members; e.g. £30 divided between 21 members is £1.428571... requiring £1.43 to be deducted from each member, totalling £30.03, in order to hit the £30 target.
The approach that I want to take, continuing the above example, is to deduct £1.42 from each member, totalling £29.82, and then deduct the remaining £0.18 using an error spreading technique to randomly take an extra penny from 18 of the 21 members.
This immediately made me think of Reservoir Sampling, and I used the information here: Random selection,
to construct the test Excel spreadsheet here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/snbkldt6e8qkcco/ErrorSpreading.xls, on Dropbox, for you guys to play with...
The problem I have is that each row of this spreadsheet calculates the error distribution indepentently of every other row, and this causes some members to contribute more than their fair share of extra pennies.
What I am looking for is a modification to the Resevoir Sampling technique, or another balanced / 2 dimensional error spreading methodology that I'm not aware of, that will minimise the overall error between members across many 'error spreading' rows.
I think this is one of those challenging problems that has a huge number of other uses, so I'm hoping you geniuses have some good ideas!
Thanks for any insight you can share :)
Will
I found a solution. Not very elegant, through.
You have to use two matrix. In the first you get completely random number, chosen with =RANDOM() and in the second you choose the n greater value
Say that in F30 you have the first
=RANDOM()
cell.
(I have experimented with your sheet.)
Just copy a column of n (in your sheet 8) in column A)
In cell F52 you put:
=IF(RANK(F30,$F30:$Z30)<=$A52, 1, 0)
Until now, if you drag left and down the formulas, you have the same situation that is in your sheet (only less elegant und efficient).
But starting from the second row of random number you could compensate for the penny esbursed.
In cell F31 you put:
=RANDOM()-SUM(F$52:F52)*0.5
(pay attention to the $, each random number should have a correction basated on penny already spent.)
If the $ are ok you should be OK dragging formulas left and down. You could also parametrize the 0.5 and experiment with other values. With 0,5 I have a error factor (the equivalent of your cell AB24) between 1 and 2